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Sunday 8 November 2015, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
48% 29% 23%
Home win
48.2%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
22.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.2% 2.08
Draw 29.1% 3.44
Asteras Tripolis 22.8% 4.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.80
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.92
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.2% 1.29
AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 51.8% 1.93

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
8.4
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.9
13.4
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.1
8.7
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
4.6
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.