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Sunday 10 January 2016, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
59% 24% 17%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
16.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.4% 1.68
Draw 23.7% 4.21
PAS Giannina 16.9% 5.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.77
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.31
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.18
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 83.1% 1.20
PAOK / PAS Giannina 76.3% 1.31
Draw / PAS Giannina 40.6% 2.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
5.2
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
11.5
11.3
4.7
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.2
9.8
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
3
6.9
6.0
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.1
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.