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Saturday 27 February 2016, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
52% 27% 21%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
21.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 52.4% 1.91
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Asteras Tripolis 21.1% 4.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.30
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.59
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.4% 4.09
Under 3.5 75.6% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.09
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 78.9% 1.27
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 47.6% 2.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
6.8
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
12.2
12.6
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.5
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.4
5.0
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.2
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.