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Sunday 14 February 2016, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
60% 26% 15%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
14.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.7% 1.68
Draw 25.5% 3.92
Iraklis 14.8% 6.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.70
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.4% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.79
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.32
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 85.2% 1.17
PAOK / Iraklis 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Iraklis 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
6.0
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
15.2
11.7
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.1
9.0
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.2
5.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.0
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.