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Sunday 10 January 2016, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
47% 30% 23%
Home win
47.2%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 47.2% 2.12
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Iraklis 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.41
Over 1.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.8% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.56
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.87
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Panionios / Iraklis 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Iraklis 52.8% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
8.8
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
14.1
13.5
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.0
8.5
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.4
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.