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Sunday 19 February 2017, 15:00 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
59% 27% 13%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
13.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 59.4% 1.68
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Iraklis 13.2% 7.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.37
Over 1.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.6% 2.98
Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.1% 6.62
Under 3.5 84.9% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.59
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.7% 2.96
No 66.3% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 86.8% 1.15
Panionios / Iraklis 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Iraklis 40.6% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
6.6
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.6
11.4
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
8.0
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.1
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.