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Sunday 16 October 2016, 20:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
61% 25% 13%
Home win
61.4%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
13.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 61.4% 1.63
Draw 25.3% 3.95
Iraklis 13.3% 7.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.18
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.10
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.33
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 86.7% 1.15
PAOK / Iraklis 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Iraklis 38.6% 2.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
5.8
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.2
11.3
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.8
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.6
4.8
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.