Monday 26 September 2016, 19:30
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Full time
65%
25%
10%
Home win
64.6%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
10.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Iraklis | 10.4% | 9.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.6% | 6.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| No | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Iraklis | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Iraklis | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.9
|
10.3
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.8
|
7.9
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
4.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2017
Iraklis
2-2
AEK Athens FC
Feb 2016
Iraklis
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Oct 2015
AEK Athens FC
5-1
Iraklis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.