Skip to content
Sunday 11 September 2016, 16:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
64% 24% 12%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
11.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 63.7% 1.57
Draw 24.4% 4.10
Xanthi FC 11.9% 8.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.32
Over 1.5 67.3% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.7% 3.06
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.10
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.1% 2.69
No 62.9% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 88.1% 1.14
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Xanthi FC 36.3% 2.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
5.4
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.6
10.8
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
8.6
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
8.3
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.