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Friday 20 May 2016, 20:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
58% 28% 15%
Home win
57.6%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
14.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 57.6% 1.74
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Panionios 14.9% 6.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.90
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.56
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.8% 2.72
No 63.2% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 85.1% 1.18
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Panionios 42.4% 2.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
6.9
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
11.9
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
8.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.7
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.