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Sunday 20 March 2016, 15:00 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
26% 32% 42%
Home win
26.2%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
41.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 26.2% 3.81
Draw 32.0% 3.12
AEK Athens FC 41.7% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.92
Over 1.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 2.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.08
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.28
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 58.3% 1.72
Panetolikos / AEK Athens FC 68.0% 1.47
Draw / AEK Athens FC 73.8% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
14.8
8.9
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.8
14.0
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
4.9
5.6
3.2
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
1.4
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.