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Sunday 3 April 2016, 19:00 Stadio Municipal Full time
17% 29% 54%
Home win
17.3%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
54.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 17.3% 5.79
Draw 28.7% 3.48
AEK Athens FC 54.0% 1.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.69
Over 1.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.4% 2.68
Over 2.5 34.9% 2.86
Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.23
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.20
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.1% 2.62
No 61.9% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 46.0% 2.17
AEL Kallonis / AEK Athens FC 71.3% 1.40
Draw / AEK Athens FC 82.7% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
16.7
12.3
5.8
2.1
0.6
1
7.7
12.6
8.4
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
2.9
4.0
2.9
1.3
0.5
0.1
3
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.