Sunday 20 March 2016, 17:15
Stadio Toumbas
Full time
76%
17%
8%
Home win
75.7%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
7.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| AEL Kallonis | 7.7% | 13.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.3% | 5.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| PAOK / AEL Kallonis | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / AEL Kallonis | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
7.9
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
8.8
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
6.9
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.5
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2015
AEL Kallonis
1-3
PAOK
Jan 2015
AEL Kallonis
1-2
PAOK
Aug 2014
PAOK
1-1
AEL Kallonis
Mar 2014
PAOK
2-1
AEL Kallonis
Dec 2013
AEL Kallonis
2-5
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.