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Sunday 24 August 2014, 19:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
84% 11% 4%
Home win
84.4%
Draw
11.2%
Away win
4.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 84.4% 1.18
Draw 11.2% 8.95
AEL Kallonis 4.4% 22.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.64
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.86
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.11
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.90
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 95.6% 1.05
PAOK / AEL Kallonis 88.8% 1.13
Draw / AEL Kallonis 15.6% 6.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
8.2
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
12.5
7.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.4
7.3
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
9.2
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
5.4
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.