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Wednesday 7 May 2014, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
49% 29% 22%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
22.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 48.7% 2.05
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Atromitos 22.0% 4.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.39
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.58
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.95
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 78.0% 1.28
PAOK / Atromitos 70.7% 1.42
Draw / Atromitos 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
8.5
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.5
13.4
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.4
8.6
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.7
3.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.