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Sunday 30 March 2014, 16:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
85% 11% 4%
Home win
85.3%
Draw
10.5%
Away win
4.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 85.3% 1.17
Draw 10.5% 9.48
AEL Kallonis 4.1% 24.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.1% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.9% 34.48
Over 1.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.9% 8.43
Over 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Over 3.5 49.4% 2.02
Under 3.5 50.6% 1.98
Over 4.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 4.5 69.8% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.9% 2.33
No 57.1% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 95.9% 1.04
PAOK / AEL Kallonis 89.5% 1.12
Draw / AEL Kallonis 14.7% 6.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.9
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.7
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
12.2
7.2
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.4
7.3
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
9.4
5.6
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
5.8
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.