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Thursday 27 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
23% 25% 52%
Home win
23.1%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
52.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 23.1% 4.33
Draw 24.5% 4.08
PAOK 52.4% 1.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.42
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.85
Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 3.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.87
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.8% 1.76
No 43.2% 2.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 47.6% 2.10
Apollon Smirnis / PAOK 75.5% 1.33
Draw / PAOK 76.9% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
9.1
8.7
5.2
2.3
0.8
1
5.4
11.6
9.8
5.8
2.6
0.9
2
3.4
6.1
5.5
3.3
1.5
0.5
3
1.3
2.3
2.1
1.2
0.5
0.2
4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.