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Saturday 22 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
74% 17% 9%
Home win
74.3%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 74.3% 1.35
Draw 17.2% 5.81
Apollon Smirnis 8.5% 11.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.72
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.22
Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 3.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 3.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.8% 5.31
Under 4.5 81.2% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 91.5% 1.09
Panathinaikos / Apollon Smirnis 82.8% 1.21
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 25.7% 3.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
11.0
8.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.4
9.1
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
7.1
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
6.1
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
2.9
1.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.