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Saturday 15 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
47% 28% 26%
Home win
46.7%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
25.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 46.7% 2.14
Draw 27.5% 3.63
Apollon Smirnis 25.8% 3.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.44
Over 1.5 72.5% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.5% 3.64
Over 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.8% 4.03
Under 3.5 75.2% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.90
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 74.2% 1.35
OFI / Apollon Smirnis 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 53.3% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
7.6
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.1
13.1
6.4
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.2
4.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
4.4
4.5
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.