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Saturday 8 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
43% 27% 30%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
30.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 42.7% 2.34
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Xanthi FC 30.1% 3.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 12.96
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.60
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 69.9% 1.43
Apollon Smirnis / Xanthi FC 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Xanthi FC 57.3% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
7.6
5.0
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
9.5
13.0
7.3
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
7.5
9.0
5.4
2.1
0.6
0.2
3
3.7
4.4
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.