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Sunday 22 October 2017, 18:15 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
24% 40% 36%
Home win
23.7%
Draw
40.3%
Away win
36.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 23.7% 4.23
Draw 40.3% 2.48
Xanthi FC 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 0.5 26.7% 3.74
Over 1.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 1.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 2.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 2.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 3.5 4.8% 20.89
Under 3.5 95.2% 1.05
Over 4.5 1.2% 81.70
Under 4.5 98.8% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 24.2% 4.14
No 75.8% 1.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 63.9% 1.56
Apollon Smirnis / Xanthi FC 59.7% 1.67
Draw / Xanthi FC 76.3% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
26.7
19.5
7.8
2.0
0.4
0.1
1
14.2
12.2
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
4.2
3.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.