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Sunday 15 October 2017, 18:15 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
40% 36% 23%
Home win
40.2%
Draw
36.4%
Away win
23.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 40.2% 2.48
Draw 36.4% 2.74
AOK Kerkyra 23.3% 4.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 0.5 21.3% 4.70
Over 1.5 47.7% 2.10
Under 1.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 2.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 2.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 3.5 7.7% 13.07
Under 3.5 92.3% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.3% 43.90
Under 4.5 97.7% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.7% 3.37
No 70.3% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Apollon Smirnis / AOK Kerkyra 63.6% 1.57
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 59.8% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.3
12.5
4.3
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.5
13.2
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
9.1
5.8
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
2.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.