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Saturday 25 January 2014, 15:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
48% 24% 28%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
28.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 48.0% 2.08
Draw 23.9% 4.18
Apollon Smirnis 28.1% 3.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.54
Over 1.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.4% 6.11
Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Under 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Over 3.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 3.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 4.5 77.9% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.4% 1.58
No 36.6% 2.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 71.9% 1.39
AEL Kallonis / Apollon Smirnis 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 52.0% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
4.9
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
6.8
10.8
7.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.8
9.4
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.2
5.7
3.9
1.8
0.6
0.2
4
1.9
2.6
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.