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Saturday 1 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
43% 30% 27%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
26.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 43.0% 2.32
Draw 30.4% 3.29
OFI 26.6% 3.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.25
Over 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.6% 5.67
Under 3.5 82.4% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.26
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.9% 2.28
No 56.1% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 73.4% 1.36
Aris Thessalonikis / OFI 69.6% 1.44
Draw / OFI 57.0% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
9.7
4.9
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.4
13.9
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.9
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.