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Sunday 9 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
51% 26% 23%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 51.0% 1.96
Draw 25.7% 3.90
Platanias 23.3% 4.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.89
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Apollon Smirnis / Platanias 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Platanias 49.0% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
6.2
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
10.2
12.2
6.1
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
9.1
9.6
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
5.1
5.4
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
2.1
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Platanias goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.