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Sunday 23 March 2014, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
35% 30% 35%
Home win
35.3%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
35.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 35.3% 2.83
Draw 29.7% 3.37
OFI 35.0% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.53
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.82
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.41
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.07
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 65.0% 1.54
AEL Kallonis / OFI 70.3% 1.42
Draw / OFI 64.7% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
10.5
6.6
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
10.6
14.0
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.6
7.7
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.6
3.0
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.