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Sunday 4 May 2014, 18:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
38% 33% 28%
Home win
38.3%
Draw
33.4%
Away win
28.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 38.3% 2.61
Draw 33.4% 3.00
Atromitos 28.3% 3.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.9% 6.27
Over 1.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 2.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 2.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.12
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.21
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.8% 2.65
No 62.2% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 71.7% 1.40
Asteras Tripolis / Atromitos 66.6% 1.50
Draw / Atromitos 61.7% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.9
12.1
5.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
1
14.9
14.2
5.7
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
8.1
6.9
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
2.8
2.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.