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Wednesday 30 April 2014, 19:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
59% 24% 17%
Home win
58.8%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
16.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 58.8% 1.70
Draw 24.5% 4.08
Asteras Tripolis 16.7% 5.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.23
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80
Over 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.27
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.11
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 83.3% 1.20
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 41.2% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
5.6
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.6
11.6
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.6
9.6
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.8
5.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.