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Wednesday 14 May 2014, 17:00 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
40% 29% 31%
Home win
39.7%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
31.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 39.7% 2.52
Draw 29.0% 3.44
PAOK 31.3% 3.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.23
Over 1.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.9% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.49
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.32
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 68.7% 1.46
Asteras Tripolis / PAOK 71.0% 1.41
Draw / PAOK 60.3% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
9.3
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
10.8
13.8
7.3
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.5
8.4
4.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.2
3.6
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.