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Sunday 11 May 2014, 18:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
54.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
17.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 54.9% 1.82
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Asteras Tripolis 17.6% 5.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.88
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.25
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.83
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41
No 58.5% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.4% 1.21
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 45.1% 2.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
7.1
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.2
12.5
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
8.9
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
6.0
4.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.