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Wednesday 7 May 2014, 20:30 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
38% 31% 30%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
30.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 38.4% 2.60
Draw 31.3% 3.20
Panathinaikos 30.3% 3.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.81
Over 1.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.59
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 69.7% 1.43
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 68.7% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 61.6% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
11.0
5.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.9
14.2
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
7.8
7.6
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.0
2.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.