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Sunday 11 May 2014, 20:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
45% 30% 25%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
25.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 44.5% 2.24
Draw 30.3% 3.30
PAOK 25.2% 3.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.12
Over 1.5 64.3% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.73
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.79
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.65
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 74.8% 1.34
Atromitos / PAOK 69.7% 1.43
Draw / PAOK 55.5% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
9.5
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
13.8
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.3
8.3
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
4.0
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.