Wednesday 11 May 2016, 18:15
Stadio Néas Smírnis
Full time
30%
30%
40%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
39.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 30.3% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.3% | 8.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Panionios / Panathinaikos | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Panathinaikos | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.3
|
12.0
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
14.0
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
6.9
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2019
Panionios
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Apr 2018
Panionios
0-3
Panathinaikos
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.