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Sunday 3 April 2016, 19:00 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
38% 29% 33%
Home win
38.2%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
32.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 38.2% 2.62
Draw 29.0% 3.45
PAOK 32.8% 3.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.35
Over 1.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.6% 3.38
Over 2.5 43.6% 2.29
Under 2.5 56.4% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.6% 4.43
Under 3.5 77.4% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.9% 10.14
Under 4.5 90.1% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 67.2% 1.49
Panionios / PAOK 71.0% 1.41
Draw / PAOK 61.8% 1.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
9.5
5.9
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
10.5
13.8
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
7.1
8.2
4.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.0
3.5
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.