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Monday 23 May 2016, 20:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
50% 29% 21%
Home win
49.9%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 49.9% 2.00
Draw 29.3% 3.41
AEK Athens FC 20.7% 4.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.11
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.5% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.82
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.76
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.3% 1.26
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 70.7% 1.42
Draw / AEK Athens FC 50.1% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
8.4
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.1
13.2
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
10.9
8.5
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.