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Sunday 29 May 2016, 20:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
49% 29% 22%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.9% 2.04
Draw 28.7% 3.48
PAOK 22.3% 4.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.03
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.52
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.5% 5.14
Under 3.5 80.5% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.44
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.7% 1.29
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 71.3% 1.40
Draw / PAOK 51.1% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
8.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.8
13.3
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.2
8.8
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
4.8
4.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.