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Tuesday 31 May 2016, 20:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
43% 28% 29%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
29.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 43.1% 2.32
Draw 27.9% 3.59
Panathinaikos 29.1% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.66
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.70
Over 2.5 46.8% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.3% 3.96
Under 3.5 74.7% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.67
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 70.9% 1.41
PAOK / Panathinaikos 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Panathinaikos 56.9% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
8.1
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
10.4
13.3
7.0
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
8.9
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
3.8
4.2
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.