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Sunday 6 March 2016, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
55% 29% 16%
Home win
55.3%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
15.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 55.3% 1.81
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Atromitos 15.9% 6.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.33
Over 1.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 2.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.1% 6.62
Under 3.5 84.9% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.62
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.1% 2.77
No 63.9% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Atromitos 44.7% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
7.5
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.6
12.2
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
8.2
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.