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Sunday 2 October 2016, 20:30 Georgios Karaiskakis Full time
66% 22% 12%
Home win
66.2%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
11.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 66.2% 1.51
Draw 22.0% 4.54
AEK Athens FC 11.8% 8.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.33
Over 1.5 73.6% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.4% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.29
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 88.2% 1.13
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEK Athens FC 78.0% 1.28
Draw / AEK Athens FC 33.8% 2.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
4.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
13.8
10.3
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
9.3
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.8
5.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.