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Sunday 6 November 2016, 15:00 Panetolikos Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
54% 26% 19%
Home win
54.4%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
19.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 54.4% 1.84
Draw 26.2% 3.82
Larisa 19.4% 5.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.15
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.55
Over 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.1% 4.15
Under 3.5 75.9% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.27
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 80.6% 1.24
Panetolikos / Larisa 73.8% 1.35
Draw / Larisa 45.6% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
6.5
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
12.7
12.4
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.9
9.5
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
5.9
5.1
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.