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Saturday 24 September 2016, 20:30 Panetolikos Stadium Full time
26% 29% 45%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
44.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 25.8% 3.88
Draw 29.3% 3.41
Panathinaikos 44.9% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.15
Over 1.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.6% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.1% 2.50
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.8% 5.05
Under 3.5 80.2% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.2% 12.15
Under 4.5 91.8% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.0% 2.17
No 54.0% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 55.1% 1.82
Panetolikos / Panathinaikos 70.7% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 74.2% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
12.8
9.1
4.1
1.4
0.4
1
8.9
13.7
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.3
2
4.6
6.1
4.1
1.8
0.6
0.2
3
1.4
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.