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Sunday 18 September 2016, 16:00 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
68% 21% 12%
Home win
67.5%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
11.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 67.5% 1.48
Draw 20.8% 4.81
PAS Giannina 11.7% 8.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.57
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.32
Over 2.5 52.2% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.8% 2.09
Over 3.5 30.0% 3.33
Under 3.5 70.0% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.82
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 88.3% 1.13
Panathinaikos / PAS Giannina 79.2% 1.26
Draw / PAS Giannina 32.5% 3.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
4.0
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
12.3
9.9
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
9.5
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
6.5
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.5
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.