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Saturday 29 October 2016, 15:00 AEL FC Arena Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
34% 31% 35%
Home win
34.3%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
35.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 34.3% 2.92
Draw 30.5% 3.28
Panionios 35.2% 2.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.64
Over 1.5 66.0% 1.51
Under 1.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.22
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.9% 2.18
No 54.1% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 64.8% 1.54
Larisa / Panionios 69.5% 1.44
Draw / Panionios 65.8% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
11.3
6.8
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.1
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
6.6
7.4
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.4
2.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.