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Saturday 24 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
46% 32% 23%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 45.5% 2.20
Draw 31.9% 3.14
OFI 22.6% 4.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.63
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.24
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.52
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.94
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.6% 2.66
No 62.4% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 77.4% 1.29
PAS Giannina / OFI 68.1% 1.47
Draw / OFI 54.5% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
10.0
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.3
13.6
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.1
7.6
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.0
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.