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Saturday 24 November 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
53% 28% 19%
Home win
53.4%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
18.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 53.4% 1.87
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Levadiakos 18.6% 5.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.70
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.94
Over 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.6% 5.37
Under 3.5 81.4% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.24
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 81.4% 1.23
AEK Athens FC / Levadiakos 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Levadiakos 46.6% 2.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
7.4
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.1
12.7
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
8.8
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.7
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.