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Sunday 13 January 2013, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
47% 30% 23%
Home win
47.1%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
23.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 47.1% 2.12
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Aris Thessalonikis 23.0% 4.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.6% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.4% 8.06
Over 1.5 64.1% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.9% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Under 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Over 3.5 17.1% 5.84
Under 3.5 82.9% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.7% 14.86
Under 4.5 93.3% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 77.0% 1.30
OFI / Aris Thessalonikis 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 52.9% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.4
9.0
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.5
13.6
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.1
8.4
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.4
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.