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Sunday 16 December 2012, 15:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
42.2%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 42.2% 2.37
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Xanthi FC 27.0% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.85
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 2.5 64.3% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.6% 6.02
Under 3.5 83.4% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.47
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.33
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Aris Thessalonikis / Xanthi FC 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Xanthi FC 57.8% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
10.1
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.7
14.0
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
8.0
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.5
3.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.