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Saturday 12 January 2013, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
49% 31% 21%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
20.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 48.5% 2.06
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Xanthi FC 20.6% 4.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.96
Over 1.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 2.5 32.2% 3.11
Under 2.5 67.8% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.2% 7.05
Under 3.5 85.8% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.17
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 79.4% 1.26
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Xanthi FC 51.5% 1.94

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
9.2
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.5
13.3
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
7.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.6
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.