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Saturday 15 December 2012, 19:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
12% 21% 67%
Home win
11.8%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
66.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 11.8% 8.46
Draw 21.4% 4.68
Olympiakos Piraeus 66.8% 1.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.62
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.09
Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.35
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 33.2% 3.01
Panionios / Olympiakos Piraeus 78.6% 1.27
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 88.2% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
12.9
13.3
8.8
4.4
1.7
1
4.2
10.1
9.4
6.2
3.1
1.2
2
1.7
3.4
3.3
2.2
1.1
0.4
3
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.