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Sunday 2 December 2012, 19:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
27% 31% 42%
Home win
26.8%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
41.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 26.8% 3.74
Draw 31.4% 3.19
Panathinaikos 41.8% 2.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.44
Over 1.5 62.0% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.0% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.2% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.44
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.95
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.41
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 58.2% 1.72
Panionios / Panathinaikos 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Panathinaikos 73.2% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
14.1
8.8
3.5
1.0
0.2
1
10.4
14.0
7.8
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.0
5.9
3.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.